Perencanaan Energi Daerah Provinsi Maluku Utara

Maret 14, 2013 pukul 3:19 pm | Ditulis dalam Paper | Tinggalkan komentar

Agus Sugiyono, Perencanaan Energi Daerah Provinsi Maluku Utara, Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Negeri Malang, Vol.5, No.3, hal. 261-272, ISSN 2086-1575, 31 Desember 2012.

Abstract

    Regional energy planning of North Maluku Province has two scenarios for GDP growth for the period 2010 – 2030. GDP growth is assumed an average of 6.6% per year for BAU (business as usual) scenario and 9.1% for ALT (alternative) scenario. Population growth is assumed the same for both scenarios, i.e. 2.8% per year. Based on these assumptions, the final energy demand is projected to increase from 1.79 million BOE (barrel of oil equivalent) in 2010 to 4.18 million BOE in 2030 for the BAU scenario. For the ALT scenario, final energy demand is projected to increase to 5.36 million BOE in 2030. Energy supply is projected to increase from 2.03 million BOE in 2010 to 4.77 million BOE in 2030 for the BAU scenario, or increased an average of 4.4% per year. For ALT scenarios, energy supply is projected to increase to 6.15 million BOE in 2030, or increased an average of 5.7% per year. Although there has been diversification of energy program, but the most supply of energy is still oil fuel. Regarding that the oil fuel supply is coming from outside of the province, it needs to consider the use of alternative energy to substitute the oil fuel in the long term, both for power generation or for transport sectors.

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